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Facebook expected to lose 80% of users by 2017

Written By Ankit Sharma on Friday, January 31, 2014 | 4:02 AM



The end of Facebook is near. At least that is what ensures the engineers at Princeton University , who developed a study that shows that 80 % of network users must leave the service until 2017.

To reach the conclusion , researchers applied epidemiological patterns and made a mathematical relationship between adoption and abandonment of sites like Facebook and MySpace with the expansion of infection and recovery of patients .

According to John and Joshua A. Cannarella Spechler , Department of Mechanical and Aerospace Engineering of the institution , the network will suffer a decline between 2015 and 2017 . Engineers crossed data searches conducted on Google 's end and made a MySpace relationship with the lifecycle of Facebook.

When comparing networks , they found a similar growth curve , and a strong downward trend in user base . MySpace was born in 2003 , reached 76 million unique visitors per month , but lost relevance in the market from 2011.

The use of epidemiological patterns , which have been used in other studies not related to health, was not taken in vain . According Cannarella and Spechler , users enter on social networks encouraged by friends who already participate in these services . The same occurs with epidemics , in which contagion occurs through contact with sick people .

Yet according to the American study , the peak of popularity of Facebook was reached in 2012 , when social networking has reached the milestone of 1 billion users . Since then , the network went into decline , as people cut search by site name in Google . Last year , research showed the lack of interest of young people on the platform . The main alternative to the network are Instagram , WhatsApp , Tumblr and Snapchat .

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